Because the variety of infections crossed the 500 mark in July with ramped up testing numbers in Chandigarh, the affirmation price (also called check positivity price) has gone as much as 7.3%, a surge of 1.3% from the onset of this month.
Until June, out of each 100 folks being examined, solely round 5 have been being confirmed optimistic, which has now elevated to greater than seven. It’s primarily because of the affirmation price of July being a file excessive at 9.6% with two days nonetheless to go. This pattern is being witnessed amid the UT conducting round 40% of the entire exams in simply July and 50% of the entire instances have additionally surfaced in the identical interval.
Dr Rajesh Kumar, former head of the division of neighborhood drugs and college of public well being on the PGIMER, says this reveals the pandemic is on the upswing.
World Well being Organisation means that check positivity price ought to be beneath 5%
“Take a look at, observe, and deal with is the one choice. World Well being Organisation means that check positivity price ought to be beneath 5%. Thus, right here the technique ought to be to extend the testing numbers and surveillance for the symptomatic folks. With extra samples being examined, extra folks with the an infection might be recognized and despatched to isolation and it’ll assist in containing the outbreak,” he stated.
“With enhance in testing numbers, extra individuals are testing optimistic, pushing up the affirmation price,” stated UT well being secretary Arun Gupta. “We now have a focused strategy in direction of testing and the numbers are progressively going up. The testing for all non-family contacts was not very a lot desired earlier, as principally they have been remoted with the supply that they may verify for signs and report back to the division. Now, we have now determined to check all contacts.”
Dr G Dewan, director of the well being and household welfare division, stated: “ We now have began door-to-door survey on the idea of mapping once more. Furthermore, we have now began taking samples in all authorities hospitals. All sufferers reporting to flu clinics are examined and hospitalised if optimistic. Additionally, individuals are much less afraid to come back ahead to get examined now, which has elevated the testing numbers.”
Dr RS Bedi, former president of Indian Medical Affiliation’s Chandigarh chapter, stated testing extra variety of folks, even when they don’t seem to be from the high-risk class, is sensible and the upward pattern ought to proceed. “Testing ought to be open to all to detect the an infection,” he stated.
In the meantime, the UT well being division is planning to introduce fast antigen testing to cowl asymptomatic instances throughout authorities hospitals and additional enhance the testing numbers. A minimum of 1,000 such testing kits are already being procured by the PGIMER for use primarily for OPD sufferers to validate their usefulness.
“The order for round 2,000 antigen check kits might be positioned and they’re anticipated to come back within the first week of August. This can enhance the testing numbers, though the authenticity of the exams is low,” a senior UT well being official stated.